Another sub-par week for the Comprank system. While it did well picking winners, it was less adept at figuring out the spread, which seems to be a common thread this season. At least it was the closest at picking the Kansas-Nebraska thrashing of all the systems I saw this past week, as it was a mere 4 points off the predicted 33 point Kansas win.
Home Line Away CR Line Conf Score ATS Str Anl
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KANSAS -19.0 Nebraska -33.10 0.734 76-39 W W
BAYLOR +21.0 Texas Tech +9.63 0.692 7-38 L W O
Texas Christian -3.5 NEW MEXICO +5.96 0.678 37- 0 L L CR
CONNECTICUT -2.5 Rutgers -11.52 0.677 38-19 W W
STANFORD +3.0 Washington -6.14 0.675 9-27 L L CR
CENTRAL FLORIDA -14.0 Marshall -24.35 0.674 47-13 W W
NEW MEXICO STATE +7.0 Nevada -2.22 0.673 38-40 W L
ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM +11.0 Southern Mississippi +2.49 0.658 7-37 L W O
Oregon -7.0 ARIZONA STATE -0.06 0.642 35-23 L W O
VIRGINIA +1.0 Wake Forest -5.17 0.638 17-16 W W U+
BOSTON COLLEGE -6.5 Florida State -13.73 0.628 17-27 L L U-
Southern California -15.0 OREGON STATE -7.65 0.625 24- 3 L W O
Notre Dame -3.5 NAVY +2.94 0.618 44-46 W W U+
North Carolina -2.5 MARYLAND +3.33 0.614 16-13 L L CR
HOUSTON -19.0 Southern Methodist -25.54 0.609 38-28 L W O
FRESNO STATE -20.5 Utah State -26.74 0.603 38-27 L W O
Arkansas -4.5 SOUTH CAROLINA +0.36 0.600 48-36 L L CR
Michigan State +4.0 MICHIGAN +8.89 0.591 24-28 T W
SOUTH FLORIDA -5.0 Cincinnati -9.86 0.588 33-38 L L U-
Miami (Florida) -12.0 NORTH CAROLINA STATE -7.09 0.584 16-19 W L U+
TENNESSEE -29.5 Louisiana-Lafayette -34.42 0.581 59- 7 W W
Georgia Tech -2.5 VIRGINIA TECH +1.63 0.580 3-27 W W U+
Florida -16.0 VANDERBILT -11.39 0.577 49-22 L W O
Oklahoma -21.0 TEXAS A&M -16.43 0.575 42-14 L W O
BRIGHAM YOUNG -21.0 Colorado State -25.30 0.571 35-16 L W O
Ohio -7.5 TEMPLE -3.58 0.570 23- 7 L W O
COLORADO +4.0 Missouri +1.14 0.558 10-55 L W O
Pittsburgh -12.0 SYRACUSE -8.70 0.556 20-17 W W
Air Force -16.5 ARMY -13.28 0.553 30-10 L W O
Idaho +3.0 LOUISIANA TECH +5.73 0.552 16-28 W W
Minnesota +11.5 ILLINOIS +14.55 0.552 17-44 W W
DUKE +16.0 Clemson +13.01 0.550 10-47 L W O
Miami (Ohio) -7.0 BUFFALO -4.29 0.548 31-28 W W
Georgia -17.0 TROY STATE -14.31 0.545 44-34 W W
OHIO STATE -16.0 Wisconsin -18.62 0.544 38-17 W W
Arizona +2.5 UCLA +4.71 0.543 34-27 L L U-
BOISE STATE -25.5 San Jose State -28.02 0.542 42- 7 W W
California -14.5 WASHINGTON STATE -12.15 0.539 20-17 W W
Memphis +5.0 EAST CAROLINA +6.96 0.535 40-56 W W
Arkansas State -17.5 FLORIDA INT'L -15.45 0.534 27-24 W W
Indiana -6.5 BALL STATE -4.91 0.528 38-20 L W O
SAN DIEGO STATE +4.0 Wyoming +2.53 0.527 27-24 W L U+
Rice +7.0 TEXAS-EL PASO +8.54 0.527 56-48 L L U-
OKLAHOMA STATE +3.0 Texas +1.72 0.525 35-38 T W
LOUISIANA-MONROE +4.5 Middle Tennessee St +3.29 0.522 40-43 W W
Iowa State +14.0 KANSAS STATE +15.19 0.520 31-20 L L U-
BOWLING GREEN -7.0 Akron -8.08 0.519 44-20 W W
PENN STATE -7.0 Purdue -7.67 0.512 26-19 T W
Toledo -7.5 EASTERN MICHIGAN -6.93 0.510 52-28 L W O
NORTHWESTERN -1.0 Iowa -1.32 0.507 17-28 L L U-
Alabama +7.0 LOUISIANA STATE +7.29 0.505 34-41 T W
Tulane +6.5 TULSA +6.70 0.503 25-49 W W
Teams listed in CAPS are favored against the spread
This week straight up: 39-13 (75.0%)
This week against the spread: 23-25-4 (48.1%)
Vegas Error: 11.4423
CR Error: 12.3808
Vegas Bias: 0.5192
CR Bias: 1.0855
Vegas Mean Square Error: 202.3077
CR Mean Square Error: 242.2813
Extended Analysis
-----------------
key: U+ = upset vs. spread that resulted in win vs. spread
U- = upset vs. spread that resulted in loss vs. spread
O = loss vs. spread due to at least one team overplaying or underplaying
CR = loss vs. spread due to Comprank failure
20 wins vs. spread due to Comprank success
5 wins vs. spread due to upsets
6 losses vs. spread due to upsets
15 losses vs. spread due to teams over/under playing their opponents
6 losses due to Comprank failure
CR success rate --> 25/52 = 48.1% Analysis: Slightly Below Average
CR failure rate --> 6/52 = 11.5% Analysis: Average
upset ratio ------> 11/52 = 21.2% Analysis: Slightly Above Average
