Not a bad week for me overall, although there were some aberrations (ahem, Notre Dame....)
Home Line Away CR Line Conf Score ATS Str Anl
========================================================================================
Oregon -15.5 HOUSTON -1.14 0.790 48-27 L W O
NORTHERN ILLINOIS +11.5 Iowa -2.19 0.758 3-16 L L CR
Nebraska -21.0 NEVADA -6.36 0.752 52-10 L W O
Arizona State -15.5 SAN JOSE STATE -2.41 0.744 45- 3 L W O
Texas -39.0 ARKANSAS STATE -24.46 0.738 21-13 W W
Michigan State -21.0 ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM -8.67 0.709 55-18 L W O
Kansas -7.5 CENTRAL MICHIGAN +3.17 0.694 52- 7 L L CR
Duke +4.5 CONNECTICUT +13.81 0.670 14-45 W W
Boston College -6.5 WAKE FOREST +2.69 0.669 38-28 L L CR
Illinois +4.5 MISSOURI +12.91 0.654 34-40 W W
BALL STATE -6.5 Miami (Ohio) -13.59 0.625 13-14 L L U-
WYOMING +4.0 Virginia -2.41 0.619 23- 3 W W U+
Iowa State -3.5 KENT +2.74 0.615 14-23 W W U+
Miami (Florida) -18.5 MARSHALL -11.71 0.613 31- 3 L W O
Memphis +2.5 MISSISSIPPI +8.05 0.609 21-23 L W O
PENN STATE -38.5 Florida Int'l -45.04 0.607 59- 0 W W
OREGON STATE -6.5 Utah -12.42 0.605 24- 7 W W
UTAH STATE +6.5 Nevada-Las Vegas +1.40 0.601 16-23 L W O
Southern California -46.5 IDAHO -40.50 0.597 38-10 W W
RUTGERS -32.0 Buffalo -37.78 0.595 38- 3 W W
North Carolina State -8.0 CENTRAL FLORIDA -2.85 0.595 23-25 W L U+
SYRACUSE +3.0 Washington -1.70 0.591 12-42 L L CR
SOUTHERN METHODIST +9.5 Texas Tech +4.46 0.589 9-49 L W O
BRIGHAM YOUNG -4.5 Arizona -8.98 0.582 20- 7 W W
Texas-El Paso +3.0 NEW MEXICO +7.24 0.581 10- 6 L L U-
Virginia Tech -28.0 EAST CAROLINA -23.21 0.578 17- 7 W W
CLEMSON +3.0 Florida State -0.38 0.569 24-18 W W U+
Oklahoma -40.5 NORTH TEXAS -36.60 0.563 79-10 L W O
South Carolina -29.5 LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE -26.22 0.554 28-14 W W
Mississippi State +18.5 LOUISIANA STATE +21.64 0.552 0-45 W W
TEXAS CHRISTIAN -21.0 Baylor -24.04 0.550 27- 0 W W
AKRON -5.0 Army -7.58 0.547 22-14 W W
Arkansas -23.5 TROY STATE -20.70 0.546 46-26 W W
GEORGIA -6.0 Oklahoma State -8.34 0.542 35-14 W W
Notre Dame -3.0 GEORGIA TECH -1.07 0.539 3-33 W L U+
TEMPLE +21.0 Navy +18.98 0.533 19-30 W W
AUBURN -13.5 Kansas State -15.43 0.533 23-13 L W O
Louisiana-Monroe +3.0 TULSA +4.50 0.529 17-35 W W
Florida Atlantic -2.0 MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST -0.66 0.527 27-14 L W O
California -6.0 TENNESSEE -4.50 0.526 45-31 L W O
Colorado -2.5 COLORADO STATE -1.28 0.524 31-28 L W O
Stanford +17.0 UCLA +17.83 0.514 17-45 W W
MINNESOTA -14.5 Bowling Green -15.10 0.510 31-32 L L U-
WEST VIRGINIA -23.5 Western Michigan -24.05 0.509 62-24 W W
Wisconsin -14.0 WASHINGTON STATE -13.60 0.507 42-21 L W O
PITTSBURGH -20.0 Eastern Michigan -20.23 0.504 27- 3 W W
Toledo +6.5 PURDUE +6.51 0.500 24-52 W W
Teams listed in CAPS are favored against the spread
This week straight up: 38-9 (80.9%)
This week against the spread: 26-21 (55.3%)
Vegas Error: 13.6170
CR Error: 14.5857
Vegas Bias: 0.4255
CR Bias: -1.3985
Vegas Mean Square Error: 283.1809
CR Mean Square Error: 335.3960
Extended Analysis
-----------------
key: U+ = upset vs. spread that resulted in win vs. spread
U- = upset vs. spread that resulted in loss vs. spread
O = loss vs. spread due to at least one team overplaying or underplaying
CR = loss vs. spread due to Comprank failure
21 wins vs. spread due to Comprank success
5 wins vs. spread due to upsets
3 losses vs. spread due to upsets
14 losses vs. spread due to teams over/under playing their opponents
4 losses due to Comprank failure
CR success rate --> 26/47 = 55.3% Analysis: Above Average
CR failure rate --> 4/47 = 8.5% Analysis: Slightly Below Average
upset ratio ------> 8/47 = 17.0% Analysis: Average
