Yet another crazy week in the NFL. Four more bizarre upsets send the predictions out the window and a slew of unpredictable play keeps the Comprank system in a state of perpetual guessing. Just keep wondering when some semblance of normalcy will break out. Probably not this season...
Home Line Away CR Line Conf Score ATS Str Anl
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CLEVELAND -5.0 Miami -22.86 0.823 41-31 W W
SEATTLE -7.0 New Orleans -18.75 0.706 17-28 L L U-
KANSAS CITY +3.0 Cincinnati -7.68 0.704 27-20 W W U+
BALTIMORE -9.5 St. Louis -19.30 0.669 22- 3 W W
CHICAGO -5.5 Minnesota -13.12 0.637 31-34 L L U-
Atlanta +3.5 NY GIANTS +9.62 0.615 10-31 W W
SAN DIEGO -9.5 Oakland -14.94 0.594 28-14 W W
Tampa Bay -3.0 TENNESSEE +1.73 0.591 13-10 T L
ARIZONA -4.0 Carolina -8.83 0.589 10-25 L L U-
DALLAS +5.5 New England +1.17 0.587 27-48 L W O
GREEN BAY -3.5 Washington -8.10 0.586 17-14 L W CR
JACKSONVILLE -7.0 Houston -11.53 0.580 37-17 W W
NY JETS +3.0 Philadelphia +1.35 0.533 9-16 L W O
Teams listed in CAPS are favored against the spread
This week straight up: 9-4 (69.2%)
This week against the spread: 6-6 -1 (50.0%)
Vegas Error: 9.6154
CR Error: 10.7415
Vegas Bias: 3.1538
CR Bias: 8.7105
Vegas Mean Square Error: 132.6538
CR Mean Square Error: 196.4740
Extended Analysis
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key: U+ = upset vs. spread that resulted in win vs. spread
U- = upset vs. spread that resulted in loss vs. spread
O = loss vs. spread due to at least one team overplaying or underplaying
CR = loss vs. spread due to Comprank failure
5.5 wins vs. spread due to Comprank success
1 wins vs. spread due to upsets
3 losses vs. spread due to upsets
2 losses vs. spread due to teams over/under playing their opponents
1.5 losses due to Comprank failure
CR success rate --> 6.5/13 = 50.0% Analysis: Average
CR failure rate --> 1.5/13 = 11.5% Analysis: Average
upset ratio ------> 4/13 = 30.8% Analysis: Extremely High
