Menu Content/Inhalt
Home
NFL Prediction Results for 10/21/07 PDF Print E-mail
Wednesday, 24 October 2007
Pretty decent week for the Comprank system.  Went 2-1 on called upsets (Buffalo & Kansas City, missed on TB game), 2 more came out of left field, and otherwise the games were predicted fairly closely.  Not bad.  Let's see what happens next week though before any prodigious back patting occurs.
Home                     Line  Away                   CR Line   Conf   Score ATS Str Anl
========================================================================================
NY GIANTS                -9.5  San Francisco           -22.44   0.723  33-15  W   W
SEATTLE                  -9.0  St. Louis               -17.45   0.646  33- 6  W   W
Detroit                  -2.5  TAMPA BAY                +4.43   0.636  23-16  L   L   CR
WASHINGTON               -7.0  Arizona                 -12.97   0.605  21-19  L   W   CR
CINCINNATI               -6.0  NY Jets                 -10.81   0.586  38-31  W   W
Oakland                  -2.5  KANSAS CITY              +1.35   0.576  10-12  W   W   U+
DALLAS                   -9.5  Minnesota               -13.84   0.575  24-14  W   W
BUFFALO                  +3.0  Baltimore                -0.19   0.565  19-14  W   W   U+
PHILADELPHIA             -5.0  Chicago                  -8.33   0.560  16-19  L   L   U-
Denver                   +3.5  PITTSBURGH               +6.21   0.551  31-28  L   L   U-
JACKSONVILLE             +3.0  Indianapolis             +1.46   0.530   7-29  L   W   O
Houston                  +1.0  TENNESSEE                +1.89   0.520  36-38  W   W
Miami                   +16.5  NEW ENGLAND             +17.01   0.508  28-49  W   W
NEW ORLEANS              -8.5  Atlanta                  -8.81   0.505  22-16  L   W   O

Teams listed in CAPS are favored against the spread

This week straight up:          11-3            (78.6%)
This week against the spread:    8-6            (57.1%)

Vegas Error:                6.5357
CR Error:                   6.9638
Vegas Bias:                -0.1786
CR Bias:                    1.9632
Vegas Mean Square Error:   72.9821
CR Mean Square Error:      76.6952

Extended Analysis
-----------------
key:    U+ = upset vs. spread that resulted in win vs. spread
        U- = upset vs. spread that resulted in loss vs. spread
        O  = loss vs. spread due to at least one team overplaying or underplaying
        CR = loss vs. spread due to Comprank failure

6 wins vs. spread due to Comprank success
2 wins vs. spread due to upsets
2 losses vs. spread due to upsets
2 losses vs. spread due to teams over/under playing their opponents
2 losses due to Comprank failure

CR success rate -->  8/14 = 57.1%       Analysis:       Above Average
CR failure rate -->  2/14 = 14.3%       Analysis:       Above Average
upset ratio ------>  4/14 = 28.6%       Analysis:       High

 
< Prev   Next >