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NFL Prediction Results for 10/28/07 PDF Print E-mail
Tuesday, 30 October 2007
Very good week for the Comprank system, going 11-2 straight up, 9-4 against the spread, and picked 3 out of 4 upsets correctly.  Wish every week were like that.
 
Hope you all fared well this past weekend!
Home                     Line  Away                   CR Line   Conf   Score ATS Str Anl
========================================================================================
St. Louis                +3.0  CLEVELAND               +15.52   0.740  20-27  W   W
TENNESSEE                -7.0  Oakland                 -17.53   0.685  13- 9  L   W   O
Denver                   -3.0  GREEN BAY                +5.15   0.656  13-19  W   W   U+
MINNESOTA                +1.0  Philadelphia             -5.00   0.634  16-23  L   L   CR
Miami                    +9.5  NY GIANTS               +16.32   0.617  10-13  L   W   O
Tampa Bay                -4.0  JACKSONVILLE             +1.95   0.613  23-24  W   W   U+
Chicago                  -5.0  DETROIT                  -0.67   0.589   7-16  W   L   U+
NY Jets                  -3.0  BUFFALO                  +1.07   0.583   3-13  W   W   U+
Cincinnati               +3.5  PITTSBURGH               +6.38   0.554  13-24  W   W
New England             -16.5  WASHINGTON              -13.57   0.549  52- 7  L   W   O
SAN DIEGO                -9.5  Houston                 -11.79   0.539  35-10  W   W
Carolina                 +7.0  INDIANAPOLIS             +8.65   0.529   7-31  W   W
San Francisco            +3.0  NEW ORLEANS              +3.84   0.516  10-31  W   W

Teams listed in CAPS are favored against the spread

This week straight up:          11-2            (84.6%)
This week against the spread:    9-4            (69.2%)

Vegas Error:               11.3077
CR Error:                  11.5036
Vegas Bias:                 3.5385
CR Bias:                    1.1286
Vegas Mean Square Error:  176.6154
CR Mean Square Error:     189.6970

Extended Analysis
-----------------
key:    U+ = upset vs. spread that resulted in win vs. spread
        U- = upset vs. spread that resulted in loss vs. spread
        O  = loss vs. spread due to at least one team overplaying or underplaying
        CR = loss vs. spread due to Comprank failure

5 wins vs. spread due to Comprank success
4 wins vs. spread due to upsets
0 losses vs. spread due to upsets
3 losses vs. spread due to teams over/under playing their opponents
1 losses due to Comprank failure

CR success rate -->  9/13 = 69.2%       Analysis:       Extremely High
CR failure rate -->  1/13 =  7.7%       Analysis:       Below Average
upset ratio ------>  4/13 = 30.8%       Analysis:       Extremely High

 
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