What an abyssmal season of predictions this is turning out to be. The Comprank system just can't seem to figure out the NFL this season. I'm not going to change the code that currently running now, but suffice to say that I'll be working on it on the side here.
Anyway, it was another rough week for the system, as unlike much of the season so far, there were only two upsets, and since the system has been picking upsets more often than not due to the chaos, it got crushed this past week. Oddly enough, it did fairly decently straight up, meaning that it's picking winners but not getting the spread correct. Work is never done...
Home Line Away CR Line Conf Score ATS Str Anl
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GREEN BAY -9.5 Carolina -22.11 0.717 31-17 W W
PHILADELPHIA -10.0 Miami -19.74 0.667 17- 7 T W
MINNESOTA -5.5 Oakland -14.21 0.656 29-22 W W
Seattle -5.5 CHICAGO +0.79 0.629 30-23 L L CR
DALLAS -10.5 Washington -16.05 0.595 28-23 L W CR
DETROIT +3.0 NY Giants -0.28 0.567 10-16 L L CR
SAN FRANCISCO +2.5 St. Louis -0.44 0.560 9-13 L L CR
JACKSONVILLE -3.0 San Diego -5.73 0.552 24-17 W W
Denver -2.0 TENNESSEE +0.42 0.550 34-20 L L CR
INDIANAPOLIS -14.5 Kansas City -17.31 0.547 13-10 L W O
BUFFALO +16.0 New England +13.37 0.544 10-56 L W O
HOUSTON -1.0 New Orleans -2.11 0.525 23-10 W W
Baltimore +3.0 CLEVELAND +4.02 0.520 30-33 T W
Cincinnati -3.0 ARIZONA -1.99 0.519 27-35 W L U+
ATLANTA +3.0 Tampa Bay +2.00 0.519 7-31 L W O
NY Jets +9.5 PITTSBURGH +10.05 0.509 19-16 L L U-
Teams listed in CAPS are favored against the spread
This week straight up: 10-6 (62.5%)
This week against the spread: 5-9 -2 (37.5%)
Vegas Error: 8.2188
CR Error: 10.8884
Vegas Bias: 2.2188
CR Bias: 4.8337
Vegas Mean Square Error: 132.5469
CR Mean Square Error: 175.4670
Extended Analysis
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key: U+ = upset vs. spread that resulted in win vs. spread
U- = upset vs. spread that resulted in loss vs. spread
O = loss vs. spread due to at least one team overplaying or underplaying
CR = loss vs. spread due to Comprank failure
5 wins vs. spread due to Comprank success
1 wins vs. spread due to upsets
1 losses vs. spread due to upsets
3 losses vs. spread due to teams over/under playing their opponents
6 losses due to Comprank failure
CR success rate --> 6/16 = 37.5% Analysis: Extremely Low
CR failure rate --> 6/16 = 37.5% Analysis: Extremely High
upset ratio ------> 2/16 = 12.5% Analysis: Below Average
