Unbelievable finish in Buffalo. The Bills lose on a last second field goal for the second time this year, this time going down to a 53yd Dallas FG as time expires. Exciting game though, with Romo throwing 5 INT's, Buffalo returning 2 for TD's, and Terrence McGee going the distance on a kickoff return for a score. That being said, the obvious stat is Buffalo's lack of offensive output, as they were only able to muster a mere 3 points due to forward progress.
As for the system, the straight up was good, mostly due to the lack of upsets, however the system didn't do well against the spread, going 7-7 on the week.
Home Line Away CR Line Conf Score ATS Str Anl
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GREEN BAY -3.0 Chicago -19.78 0.821 20-27 L L U-
NY GIANTS -3.0 NY Jets -18.98 0.806 35-24 W W
HOUSTON -5.5 Miami -19.58 0.753 22-19 L W O
TENNESSEE -8.0 Atlanta -18.05 0.675 20-13 L W CR
DENVER -1.0 San Diego -7.96 0.655 3-41 L L U-
NEW ENGLAND -14.5 Cleveland -23.57 0.652 34-17 W W
INDIANAPOLIS -10.0 Tampa Bay -18.69 0.649 33-14 W W
St. Louis +1.0 ARIZONA +6.51 0.623 31-34 W W
SAN FRANCISCO +3.0 Baltimore -1.29 0.586 7- 9 W L
Pittsburgh -6.0 SEATTLE -2.58 0.563 21- 0 L W O
KANSAS CITY +2.5 Jacksonville +0.75 0.536 7-17 L W O
New Orleans -3.0 CAROLINA -1.65 0.526 13-16 W L U+
Washington -3.0 DETROIT -2.42 0.511 34- 3 L W O
BUFFALO +10.0 Dallas +9.88 0.502 24-25 W W
Teams listed in CAPS are favored against the spread
This week straight up: 10-4 (71.4%)
This week against the spread: 7-7 (50.0%)
Vegas Error: 10.0357
CR Error: 13.7009
Vegas Bias: -0.3214
CR Bias: 5.1714
Vegas Mean Square Error: 211.9107
CR Mean Square Error: 335.6095
Extended Analysis
-----------------
key: U+ = upset vs. spread that resulted in win vs. spread
U- = upset vs. spread that resulted in loss vs. spread
O = loss vs. spread due to at least one team overplaying or underplaying
CR = loss vs. spread due to Comprank failure
6 wins vs. spread due to Comprank success
1 wins vs. spread due to upsets
2 losses vs. spread due to upsets
4 losses vs. spread due to teams over/under playing their opponents
1 losses due to Comprank failure
CR success rate --> 7/14 = 50.0% Analysis: Average
CR failure rate --> 1/14 = 7.1% Analysis: Below Average
upset ratio ------> 3/14 = 21.4% Analysis: Slightly Above Average
