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NFL Predictions for 9/23/07 PDF Print E-mail
Wednesday, 19 September 2007
A very decent week for the Comprank system, with great success straight up and against the spread.  Wish all weeks were like this.
Home                     Line  Away                   CR Line   Conf   Score ATS Str Anl
========================================================================================
Oakland                  -3.0  CLEVELAND               +12.04   0.788  26-24  W   L
New Orleans              -4.5  TENNESSEE                +5.98   0.692  14-31  W   W   U+
WASHINGTON               -4.0  NY Giants               -12.72   0.661  17-24  L   L   U-
GREEN BAY                +4.5  San Diego                -1.77   0.621  31-24  W   W   U+
NY JETS                  -3.0  Miami                    -8.94   0.614  31-28  T   W
Philadelphia             -6.5  DETROIT                  -1.07   0.611  56-21  L   W   O
Atlanta                  +4.0  CAROLINA                 +8.99   0.592  20-27  W   W
PITTSBURGH               -8.5  San Francisco           -13.82   0.592  37-16  W   W
NEW ENGLAND             -16.0  Buffalo                 -21.13   0.586  38- 7  W   W
TAMPA BAY                -3.5  St. Louis                -7.98   0.584  24- 3  W   W
DENVER                   -3.5  Jacksonville             -7.56   0.576  14-23  L   L   U-
HOUSTON                  +6.0  Indianapolis             +3.28   0.549  24-30  T   W
BALTIMORE                -8.0  Arizona                 -10.75   0.548  26-23  L   W   O
Seattle                  -3.5  CINCINNATI               -2.01   0.528  24-21  W   W
Kansas City              -2.5  MINNESOTA                -1.29   0.524  13-10  L   W   CR
Chicago                  -3.0  DALLAS                   -2.38   0.512  10-34  W   L   U+

Teams listed in CAPS are favored against the spread

This week straight up:          12-4            (75.0%)
This week against the spread:    9-5 -2         (62.5%)

Vegas Error:               10.4375
CR Error:                  11.1292
Vegas Bias:                -0.2500
CR Bias:                    0.1335
Vegas Mean Square Error:  196.0000
CR Mean Square Error:     205.3498

Extended Analysis
-----------------
key:    U+ = upset vs. spread that resulted in win vs. spread
        U- = upset vs. spread that resulted in loss vs. spread
        O  = loss vs. spread due to at least one team overplaying or underplaying
        CR = loss vs. spread due to Comprank failure

7 wins vs. spread due to Comprank success
3 wins vs. spread due to upsets
2 losses vs. spread due to upsets
2 losses vs. spread due to teams over/under playing their opponents
2 losses due to Comprank failure

CR success rate --> 10/16 = 62.5%       Analysis:       Extremely High
CR failure rate -->  2/16 = 12.5%       Analysis:       Slightly Above Average
upset ratio ------>  5/16 = 31.2%       Analysis:       Extremely High

Last Updated ( Tuesday, 25 September 2007 )
 
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