Welcome to the 2007 NFL season. Here's the first set of predictions for Week 1 of the season.
Home Line Away CR Line Conf Score ATS Str Anl
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BUFFALO +3.0 Denver -5.19 0.657 14-15 W L
NY JETS +6.5 New England -0.02 0.634 14-38 L L CR
GREEN BAY +3.0 Philadelphia -2.97 0.609 16-13 W W U+
Cincinnati -3.0 BALTIMORE +1.04 0.582 27-20 L L CR
CLEVELAND +5.0 Pittsburgh +1.14 0.578 7-34 L W O
INDIANAPOLIS -6.0 New Orleans -10.02 0.571 41-10 W W
Jacksonville -6.5 TENNESSEE -3.44 0.555 10-13 W L U+
Washington -3.0 MIAMI -0.34 0.555 16-13 T W
ST. LOUIS -1.0 Carolina -3.45 0.555 13-27 L L U-
SAN FRANCISCO -3.0 Arizona -5.73 0.552 20-17 T W
SEATTLE -6.0 Tampa Bay -8.63 0.547 20- 6 W W
Dallas -6.0 NY GIANTS -4.80 0.521 45-35 L W O
MINNESOTA -3.0 Atlanta -4.03 0.520 24- 3 W W
San Diego -6.5 CHICAGO -5.49 0.518 14- 3 L W O
Houston -3.0 KANSAS CITY -2.46 0.510 20- 3 L W O
OAKLAND -2.5 Detroit -2.73 0.505 21-36 L L U-
Teams listed in CAPS are favored against the spread
This week straight up: 10-6 (62.5%)
This week against the spread: 6-8 -2 (43.8%)
Vegas Error: 10.4375
CR Error: 11.2330
Vegas Bias: -0.2500
CR Bias: 1.3198
Vegas Mean Square Error: 169.5625
CR Mean Square Error: 190.5905
Extended Analysis
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key: U+ = upset vs. spread that resulted in win vs. spread
U- = upset vs. spread that resulted in loss vs. spread
O = loss vs. spread due to at least one team overplaying or underplaying
CR = loss vs. spread due to Comprank failure
5 wins vs. spread due to Comprank success
2 wins vs. spread due to upsets
2 losses vs. spread due to upsets
4 losses vs. spread due to teams over/under playing their opponents
3 losses due to Comprank failure
CR success rate --> 7/16 = 43.8% Analysis: Below Average
CR failure rate --> 3/16 = 18.8% Analysis: Extremely High
upset ratio ------> 4/16 = 25.0% Analysis: Above Average